Foretrace — AI-powered forecasts for Polymarket

Marine Le Pen45.1%Édouard Philippe18.5%Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%

Next French Presidential Election

$728.7K 24h vol.

128 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16.5%chance

$371.2K 24h vol.

June 30, 202710.5%December 31, 20262.5%

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

$333.1K 24h vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro73.5%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva26.5%Renan Santos0.1%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

$280.5K 24h vol.

Gadi Eizenkot46.4%Benjamin Netanyahu35.5%Naftali Bennett13.5%

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$266.3K 24h vol.

28 markets

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms15.5%Save the Children7%International Court of Justice6.1%

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$158.1K 24h vol.

71 markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5%72.5%Flávio Bolsonaro <5%19.5%Lula da Silva 5-10%5.5%

$117.7K 24h vol.

11 markets

Flavio Bolsonaro99.3%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva99%Ronaldo Caiado0.15%

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

$94K 24h vol.

9 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6.5%chance

$82K 24h vol.

Renan Santos60.5%Augusto Cury23.1%Ronaldo Caiado17.5%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

$63.8K 24h vol.

June 30, 20278.5%December 313.2%

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

$62.6K 24h vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2.5%chance

$59.2K 24h vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

4.4%chance

$49.7K 24h vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

2-4%54.5%4-6%27.5%<2%8.1%

$48.7K 24h vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

39%+90.5%36-39%7.1%33-36%1.2%

$41.8K 24h vol.

December 3120.5%October 3111.5%

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$38K 24h vol.

6 markets

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

2.6%chance

$29.7K 24h vol.

Magdalena Andersson82.5%Ulf Kristersson13.6%Ebba Busch2.3%

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

$18.2K 24h vol.

36 markets

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11.5%chance

$16.9K 24h vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei87.1%No Head of State4.6%Reza Pahlavi2.9%

Iran leader end of 2026?

$14.8K 24h vol.

123 markets

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3142%

$14.3K 24h vol.

6 markets

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

5.5%chance

$13.7K 24h vol.

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

December 315.5%

$12.5K 24h vol.

10 markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

44%+70.5%41-44%22.5%38-41%4.5%

$11.6K 24h vol.

Yashar59.5%Yisrael Beiteinu54.5%Together47.5%

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

$10.8K 24h vol.

15 markets

December 31, 20268.5%November 30, 20264%October 31, 20261.9%

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

$8.5K 24h vol.

4 markets

China73.5%No meeting by December 3117.5%United States3.9%

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

$6.9K 24h vol.

15 markets

December 31, 202724.5%December 31, 202611%

Russia military action against EU country by...?

$6.2K 24h vol.

Iliana Iotova84.5%Аndrey Gyurov15.5%Kostadin Kostadinov0.45%

Bulgaria Presidential Election

$5.3K 24h vol.

40 markets

Vladimir Putin83.5%Mohammed bin Salman68.5%Kim Jong Un20.5%

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

$4.8K 24h vol.

27 markets

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

12%chance

$4.1K 24h vol.

October 5 · Lula18.5%October 3 · Lula1.9%

Lula or Bolsonaro favored on...?

$4K 24h vol.

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ97.9%PLQ1.9%PCQ0.3%

$3.6K 24h vol.

33 markets

New pandemic in 2026?

4.5%chance

No change82%25 bps increase18%50+ bps increase1.1%

$3.5K 24h vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

$3.3K 24h vol.

No Next Minister by Feb 2838%Avigdor Lieberman23.5%Gadi Eizenkot9.5%

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$3.1K 24h vol.

34 markets

No Next Chancellor before 202868.5%Hendrik Wüst13.5%Markus Söder6%

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$3.1K 24h vol.

66 markets

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

Turkey45%UAE30.5%USA14%

$3K 24h vol.

29 markets

Iran Nuke before 2027?

4%chance

$2.9K 24h vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)

42-45%36%39-42%34%45-48%15%

$2.3K 24h vol.

6 markets

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

26.5%chance

$2.2K 24h vol.

Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?

58.5%chance

$2.2K 24h vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 312.8%

$2.2K 24h vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82.5%chance

$2.1K 24h vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23.5%chance

$2K 24h vol.

Pam Alexis6.5%Kerry-Lynne Findlay4.9%Lakhwinder Jhaj2%

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

$1.9K 24h vol.

30 markets

No Next Minister by Feb 2848.5%Avigdor Lieberman19.5%Nir Barkat11.5%

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$1.8K 24h vol.