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Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
24h volume$53.4K
Total volume$600.2K
Liquidity$106.9K
Event end date · UTCOct 5, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting orders5.6%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Yes5.6%
No94.5%
- Liquidity
- $105.7K
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 5, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 5.4¢ / 5.7¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Resolution rules
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).