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Iran Nuke before 2027?
24h volume$2.9K
Total volume$1.3M
Liquidity$100.2K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting orders4%
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes4%
No96%
- Liquidity
- $100.2K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 3.9¢ / 4.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Within research coverage.
Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 2:47:57 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.