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Brazil Presidential Election
24h volume$1.7M
Total volume$163.1M
Liquidity$25.7M
Event end date · UTCOct 5, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
32 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Tarcisio de FreitasAccepting orders0.05%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes0.05%
No>99.9%
- Liquidity
- $1.3M
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 5, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).