Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?

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24h volume$322.4

Total volume$19.1K

Liquidity$4.5K

Event end date · UTCOct 5, 2026

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Accepting ordersMarket odds51.5%

Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?

Yes51.5%Polymarket estimate

No48.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $4.3K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 5, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 44.0¢ / 59.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).