Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic57.3%SpaceX37.5%OpenAI0.7%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$39.5K 24h vol.74 markets

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Polymarket odds

↑4k99.6%↑4.5k97.7%↑4.75k93.6%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$10K 24h vol.14 markets

New pandemic in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes4.5%No95.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$6.9K 24h vol.

When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

Polymarket odds

Does not return by November 1, 202663.1%October 1 - 31, 202635.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$4.3K 24h vol.5 markets

Where will it rain on August 10?

Polymarket odds

Singapore0%Jakarta0%Mumbai0%

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Closed · $3.8K 24h vol.17 markets

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

Polymarket odds

No return before November 1, 202661.5%October 1 - 31, 202634.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$3.7K 24h vol.4 markets

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Polymarket odds

172.5%225.5%30.45%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$1.9K 24h vol.6 markets

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

Polymarket odds

35 to 4955.5%50 or more19%20 to 3415.1%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$754.8 24h vol.4 markets

New pandemic before 2028?

Polymarket odds

Yes19.5%No80.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$647.7 24h vol.

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Polymarket odds

Other59.9%Isaias19.6%Josephine13.9%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$460 24h vol.20 markets

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Polymarket odds

December 3116.5%October 315%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$456.8 24h vol.4 markets

NASA Artemis II

Polymarket odds

April 30100%Artemis II booster rupture?10%February 70%

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Closed · $379.6 24h vol.5 markets

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes24%No76%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$351.6 24h vol.

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

Polymarket odds

145%034.5%28.6%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$318.5 24h vol.6 markets

Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · $250 24h vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Polymarket odds

14–1651.5%11–1326%17–1919.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$168.8 24h vol.7 markets

Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in October

Polymarket odds

96 km/h or above38.5%86 to 95 km/h29.5%85 km/h or below16.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$118.7 24h vol.3 markets

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Polymarket odds

5-659.5%<535.5%7-81.7%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$103.2 24h vol.8 markets

How low will Lake Powell drop?

Polymarket odds

Above 3,510 ft77.5%3,500–3,510 ft17.5%3,490–3,500 ft1.1%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$54.1 24h vol.4 markets

Human moon landing in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes1.3%No98.7%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$52.6 24h vol.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes5.9%No94.2%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$35.2 24h vol.

Highest 24-hour rainfall in Bangkok, October 4-10?

Polymarket odds

50-100mm37%100mm+33%20-50mm26.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$32 24h vol.4 markets

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes3.1%No97%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$22.2 24h vol.

How low will Lake Mead drop?

Polymarket odds

1,028–1,033 ft44.6%Below 1,028 ft44.5%1,033–1,038 ft7.4%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$20 24h vol.4 markets

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes8.5%No91.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$11.7 24h vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Polymarket odds

Yes3.2%No96.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$1.1 24h vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes10.5%No89.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$0.8 24h vol.

How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?

Polymarket odds

More than 550,00098.8%More than 575,00093%More than 600,0005.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes13.5%No86.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

Unavailable 24h vol.

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

Polymarket odds

No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026100%September 1 to September 10, 20260%September 11 to September 15, 20260%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September

Polymarket odds

90 to 101 km/h100%89 km/h or below0%102 km/h or above0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Highest temperature during Burning Man 2026?

Polymarket odds

87-88°F100%86°F or below0%89-90°F0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.7 markets

Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in August

Polymarket odds

104 km/h or above100%93 km/h or below0%94 to 103 km/h0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

Polymarket odds

Yes6.5%No93.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.

Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes36.5%No63.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

Unavailable 24h vol.

Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

Polymarket odds

Midwest (MISO)100%Mid-Atlantic (PJM)100%California (CAISO)0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.7 markets

When will the next hurricane form in the Pacific?

Polymarket odds

August 13 to August 16, 2026100%August 17 to August 21, 20260%August 22 to August 26, 20260%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

Polymarket odds

No Atlantic hurricane will form in August 2026100%August 13 to August 16, 20260%August 17 to August 21, 20260%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

Polymarket odds

Before September 1, 2026100%September 1 - 14, 20260%September 15 - 30, 20260%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

When will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin?

Polymarket odds

Aug 11-12100%Aug 8 or earlier0%Aug 9-100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

Polymarket odds

October 31100%December 31100%June 300%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

Polymarket odds

Yes78.5%No21.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Polymarket odds

40-45mm100%<30mm0%30-35mm0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.8 markets

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 9 - March 15?

Polymarket odds

0100%10%20%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.7 markets

What will Trump say during Inter Miami event on March 5?

Polymarket odds

World Cup / Olympics 4+ times100%Messi 3+ times100%Cristiano / Ronaldo100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.25 markets

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 9, 2026?

Polymarket odds

70–80100%<600%60–700%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Polymarket odds

1.25–1.29ºC100%<1.10ºC0%1.10–1.14ºC0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 2 - March 8?

Polymarket odds

0100%10%20%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

View market details

Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.7 markets

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 09:01 PM UTC.