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New pandemic before 2028?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$647.7
Total volume$9.1K
Liquidity$7.6K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2028
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
New pandemic before 2028?Accepting ordersMarket odds19.5%
New pandemic before 2028?
Yes19.5%Polymarket estimate
No80.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $7.6K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2028
- Yes bid / ask
- 19.0¢ / 20.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
AI research not covered
Initial research coverage focuses on politics and the economy.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 5:53:40 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.