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Human moon landing in 2026?
24h volume$68.7
Total volume$2M
Liquidity$21.4K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting orders1.1%
Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes1.1%
No98.9%
- Liquidity
- $21.4K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 1.0¢ / 1.2¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Initial research coverage focuses on politics and the economy.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 2:50:13 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.