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Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
24h volume$6.9K
Total volume$8.1M
Liquidity$25.1K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
14 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
↑3.5kClosed100%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes100%
No0%
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.