UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

Polymarket odds

1-2%74.9%0-1%7.3%2-3%5.3%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$3.6K 24h vol.7 markets

What will be in the UK Budget?

Polymarket odds

CGT increase48%Fuel duty increase36.5%Land value tax16%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$768 24h vol.4 markets

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

Polymarket odds

639%724.5%810.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$583.2 24h vol.6 markets

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Polymarket odds

John Healey13.5%Miatta Fahnbulleh10.5%Yvette Cooper10%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$527.9 24h vol.23 markets

Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Polymarket odds

Chris Thomas39.5%Alfred Cannan27.5%Jane Poole-Wilson24.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$239.7 24h vol.33 markets

Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes10.5%No89.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$235.8 24h vol.

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Polymarket odds

March 31, 202725.5%December 31, 202610%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$145 24h vol.2 markets

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Polymarket odds

0.4–0.5%35.5%0.6–0.7%35.4%0.2–0.3%19%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$85 24h vol.7 markets

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?

Polymarket odds

June 3033.5%December 3113.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$68.8 24h vol.3 markets

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

Polymarket odds

287.5%312.5%4+0.3%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$28.7 24h vol.4 markets

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

Polymarket odds

December 317.5%October 313.6%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Next UK by-election called by…?

Polymarket odds

December 3142%October 3117%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

Eurovision Winner?

Polymarket odds

Switzerland100%Ukraine0%Italy0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.22 markets

Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Next UK by-election called by…?

Polymarket odds

September 30100%December 31100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

Polymarket odds

December 315.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

Clacton by-election: Turnout

Polymarket odds

30k-40k100%<10k0%10k-20k0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.7 markets

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Restore receives 10%+ first preference votes?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Next UK Transport Secretary in 2026?

Polymarket odds

No next Transport Secretary in 2026100%Louise Haigh0%Anneliese Midgley0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.35 markets

Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %

Polymarket odds

Farage 60–70%100%Farage <40%0%Farage 40–50%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %

Polymarket odds

Binface 20–30%100%Binface <10%0%Binface 10–20%0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Polymarket odds

Count Binface100%Nigel Farage0%Giles Watling0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.53 markets

Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Clacton by-election Winner

Polymarket odds

Nigel Farage100%Giles Watling0%Jovan Owusu-Nepaul0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.52 markets

Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026?

Polymarket odds

No next Culture Secretary in 2026100%Louise Haigh0%Lucy Powell0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.33 markets

Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Other100%John Healey0%Al Carns0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.36 markets

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

Polymarket odds

Bev Craig 15%+100%Bev Craig 10–15%0%Bev Craig 5–10%0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.7 markets

Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Colin Sutton100%Christopher John Brown0%Mark Rhoades Buckton0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.28 markets

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes

Polymarket odds

Bev Craig100%Kate Green0%Laura Evans0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.36 markets

Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?

Polymarket odds

No next Home Secretary in 2026100%Pat McFadden0%Ed Miliband0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.36 markets

Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Polymarket odds

Angela Rayner100%Wes Streeting100%Yvette Cooper100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.30 markets

Bank of England decision in September?

Polymarket odds

No change100%50+ bps decrease0%25 bps decrease0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

Polymarket odds

July 31100%September 30100%July 20100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Starmer officially leaves office by…?

Polymarket odds

July 31100%June 300%July 170%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Ed Miliband100%Pat McFadden0%Darren Jones0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.37 markets

Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

Polymarket odds

John Healey100%Pat McFadden0%Ed Miliband0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.35 markets

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Bev Craig100%Kate Green0%Laura Evans0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.51 markets

Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

Polymarket odds

Yes3.4%No96.6%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.

2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry By-Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Lara Bird100%Tanvir Ahmad0%Jack Cruickshanks0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.20 markets

2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Douglas Lumsden100%Nurul Hoque Ali0%David Ballantine0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.22 markets

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

Polymarket odds

0.4–0.5%100%Negative0%0.0–0.1%0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.7 markets

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Polymarket odds

Andy Burnham100%Keir Starmer0%Wes Streeting0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

Polymarket odds

Labour100%Conservative0%Liberal Democrats0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.27 markets

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes2.7%No97.3%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.

Next First Minister of Scotland?

Polymarket odds

John Swinney100%Russell Findlay0%Anas Sarwar0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.34 markets

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 09:54 AM UTC.