Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?

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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volume$235.8

Total volume$947.4

Liquidity$12.6K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?Accepting ordersMarket odds10.5%

Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?

Yes10.5%Polymarket estimate

No89.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $12.6K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 10.0¢ / 11.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify. The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.