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Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Restore receives 10%+ first preference votes?
Foretrace AI research
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$7.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJul 30, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Restore receives 10%+ first preference votes?ClosedMarket odds0%
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Restore receives 10%+ first preference votes?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 30, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Marlon West, receives at least 10% of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The percentage of valid first preference votes will be calculated as number of valid first preference votes received by Marlon West divided by the number of total valid first preference votes in the specified election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).