
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Italian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Croatian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Swedish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Norwegian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Icelandic candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Belgian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Lithuanian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Swiss candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Finnish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the French candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Irish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Georgian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Austrian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Australian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Spanish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Armenian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Greek candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Polish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate from a country not listed in this market group but participating in Eurovision 2024 wins that contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This is the list of countries previously referred to: Ukraine, Italy, Croatia, Israel, Sweden, United Kingdom, Belgium, Iceland, Norway, Lithuania, Ireland, Finland, France, Switzerland, Georgia, Austria, Greece, Australia, Armenia, Poland, Spain. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:52:47 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.