US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3171.5%December 3151.8%November 3034.5%

$185.3K 24h vol.

23 markets

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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 317.5%October 311.6%

$120.8K 24h vol.

11 markets

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Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202645%November 30, 202633.5%October 31, 202616.5%

$28.4K 24h vol.

6 markets

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Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3153%Qatar21.1%Pakistan5.2%

$9.5K 24h vol.

19 markets

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US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

October 317.5%

$5.7K 24h vol.

4 markets

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Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 202680.5%December7.1%November4.2%

$4.8K 24h vol.

7 markets

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Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 3118%October 317.5%

$4.6K 24h vol.

11 markets

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)14.5%≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)14.5%Dilution of Iran's Uranium14.5%

$3.5K 24h vol.

6 markets

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Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

25.5%chance

YesNo

$2.1K 24h vol.

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IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 3114%October 312.5%

$1.1K 24h vol.

4 markets

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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

13.5%chance

YesNo

$714.6 24h vol.

US military draft authorized in 2026?

3.7%chance

YesNo

$570.4 24h vol.

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Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 312.2%

$240.5 24h vol.

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Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317.5%October 313%

$191.3 24h vol.

7 markets

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US charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 314.1%

$101.7 24h vol.

4 markets

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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 315.5%

$52.1 24h vol.

8 markets

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Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 311.6%

$40 24h vol.

4 markets

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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?

3.3%chance

YesNo

$22.7 24h vol.

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US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?

3.2%chance

YesNo

Unavailable 24h vol.

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Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 310.3%

Unavailable 24h vol.

4 markets

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Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 311.6%

Unavailable 24h vol.

4 markets

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Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 311.6%

Unavailable 24h vol.

4 markets

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Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 312%

Unavailable 24h vol.

4 markets

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Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

December 316%

Unavailable 24h vol.

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Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

December 3117.5%

Unavailable 24h vol.

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Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%chance

YesNo

Unavailable 24h vol.

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 312.6%

Unavailable 24h vol.

5 markets

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Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

3%chance

YesNo

Unavailable 24h vol.

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Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 02:48 PM UTC.