OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

Polymarket odds

December 31, 202919.5%December 31, 202815.5%December 31, 202710.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$121.7K 24h vol.3 markets

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic57.3%SpaceX37.5%OpenAI0.7%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$39.5K 24h vol.74 markets

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

Polymarket odds

December 31, 202743%December 31, 202620.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$38.4K 24h vol.3 markets

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic52.5%Google38.5%OpenAI6.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$21.2K 24h vol.26 markets

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

Polymarket odds

December 3193.5%October 3129%October 2311.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$16.9K 24h vol.5 markets

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 28?

Polymarket odds

DeepSeek72.2%Google27.5%OpenAI0.25%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$5.8K 24h vol.15 markets

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

Polymarket odds

$2.5T+23.3%$1.75T–$2.0T21.5%<$1T19.1%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$3.9K 24h vol.8 markets

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 28?

Polymarket odds

Google69.2%DeepSeek25.9%OpenAI0.25%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$3.4K 24h vol.15 markets

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Polymarket odds

↑$1.0T98.1%↑$1.25T79.5%↑$1.5T30%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$2.9K 24h vol.15 markets

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic96.5%OpenAI3.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$2.8K 24h vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Polymarket odds

No IPO by December 31, 202696.3%<500B1.2%1.5T+0.95%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$2.7K 24h vol.7 markets

OpenAI resumes training on...?

Polymarket odds

Not resumed by October 2031.5%October 1815.4%October 1510.7%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$2.6K 24h vol.24 markets

How many Codex resets week of September 28?

Polymarket odds

287.5%311.5%4+2.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$2.5K 24h vol.5 markets

Largest private company end of October?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic98.9%Canva0.4%Databricks0.4%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$2.5K 24h vol.10 markets

OpenAI IPO by...?

Polymarket odds

June 30, 202746.5%March 31, 202725.5%December 31, 20263.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$2K 24h vol.8 markets

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket odds

55%+82.5%60%+48%65%+21%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$1.8K 24h vol.5 markets

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

Polymarket odds

40%+90.4%45%+81.7%50%+69%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$1.7K 24h vol.4 markets

2nd largest private company end of October?

Polymarket odds

OpenAI94.5%Databricks6.2%Anthropic3%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$975.3 24h vol.10 markets

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Polymarket odds

Yes16.5%No83.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$758.7 24h vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

Polymarket odds

326.5%5+24.5%219.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$669.6 24h vol.6 markets

ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?

Polymarket odds

December 3129.5%October 318.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$605.2 24h vol.2 markets

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic92.5%OpenAI7.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$587.3 24h vol.

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes5.5%No94.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$568.6 24h vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

Polymarket odds

$1.10-$1.20T36.5%$1.30T+28.5%$1.20-$1.30T19%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$550.9 24h vol.9 markets

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

Polymarket odds

November 3054%October 3125%September 300.55%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$412.7 24h vol.4 markets

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

Polymarket odds

$1.00-$1.10T42.5%$1.10-$1.20T20.5%$900B-$1.00T17%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$344 24h vol.9 markets

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?

Polymarket odds

↑$1T91.5%↑$1.05T83.5%↑$1.1T48%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$328.7 24h vol.9 markets

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Polymarket odds

1.5T+55.4%No IPO by December 31, 202723.8%1.25T–1.5T9.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$284.6 24h vol.7 markets

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

Polymarket odds

OpenAI6%Meta94%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$274 24h vol.

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

Polymarket odds

↑ $6053%↓ $4045.5%↓ $3042.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$238.7 24h vol.6 markets

OpenAI resumes training by...?

Polymarket odds

October 3171%October 1538%October 1023.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$208.2 24h vol.5 markets

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Polymarket odds

December 31, 202634%October 31, 20266.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$184.5 24h vol.4 markets

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

Polymarket odds

Yes2.8%No97.3%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$184.1 24h vol.

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes10.4%No89.6%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$164.6 24h vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 28?

Polymarket odds

OpenAI99.5%xAI2.5%Tencent0.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$142.1 24h vol.15 markets

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Polymarket odds

November 3020%October 317%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$129.4 24h vol.4 markets

3rd largest private company end of October?

Polymarket odds

ByteDance93%Databricks8.8%OpenAI3.7%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$110.5 24h vol.10 markets

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Polymarket odds

Goldman Sachs77.5%JPMorgan0.25%Bank of America0.25%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$108.3 24h vol.18 markets

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Polymarket odds

$800B82.2%$1T73%$1.2T63.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$79.7 24h vol.5 markets

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Polymarket odds

Yes2.5%No97.6%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$74.1 24h vol.

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Polymarket odds

October 3157%October 1549%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$65.2 24h vol.2 markets

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

Polymarket odds

December 31, 202616.5%October 31, 20264.3%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$60 24h vol.2 markets

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

Polymarket odds

December 3188.5%November 3044.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$43 24h vol.2 markets

What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?

Polymarket odds

↓ $872.5%↓ $525%↑ $1517.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$40 24h vol.4 markets

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Polymarket odds

Yes4.5%No95.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$30 24h vol.

ChatGPT Outage by...?

Polymarket odds

October 1599.3%October 3196.2%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$29.2 24h vol.2 markets

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

Polymarket odds

December 3191%November 3085%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$21 24h vol.2 markets

Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

Polymarket odds

December 31, 202613%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$21 24h vol.2 markets

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 08:50 PM UTC.