Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.

View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.

24h volume$2.8K

Total volume$415.6K

Liquidity$48.2K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2028

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds96.5%

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic96.5%Polymarket estimate

OpenAI3.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $48.2K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2028
Anthropic bid / ask: 96.3¢ / 96.7¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

AI research not covered

Initial research coverage focuses on politics and the economy.

Check AI research coverage

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.