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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volume$4K
Total volume$305.5K
Liquidity$22.7K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting ordersMarket odds16.5%
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes16.5%Polymarket estimate
No83.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $21.8K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 16.0¢ / 17.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:30:36 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.