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OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 3 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$185.7K
Total volume$278.6K
Liquidity$356K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2030
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
3 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
December 31, 2027Accepting ordersMarket odds7.5%
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Yes7.5%Polymarket estimate
No92.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $133.8K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2028
- Yes bid / ask
- 7.0¢ / 8.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.