Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

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24h volume$150.7

Total volume$13.1K

Liquidity$610

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds10.1%

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Yes10.1%Polymarket estimate

No90%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $583.7
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 8.2¢ / 11.9¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.