Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic56.2%SpaceX41.5%OpenAI0.75%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$44.7K 24h vol.74 markets

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

Polymarket odds

$2.5T+23.3%$1.75T–$2.0T21.5%<$1T19.2%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$3.9K 24h vol.8 markets

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Polymarket odds

October 15100%October 31100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $3.2K 24h vol.2 markets

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic96.5%OpenAI3.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$2.5K 24h vol.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Polymarket odds

↑$1.0T98.1%↑$1.25T85.5%↑$1.5T31.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$2.3K 24h vol.15 markets

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Polymarket odds

December 31, 202634%October 31, 20265.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$880.1 24h vol.4 markets

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Glasses15.5%Clip-on device for clothing12.5%Earbuds/Headphones11%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$877.2 24h vol.10 markets

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Polymarket odds

Yes3.9%No96.2%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$373.3 24h vol.

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

Polymarket odds

OpenAI6%Meta94%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$275 24h vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

Polymarket odds

$1.00-$1.10T45.5%$1.10-$1.20T19.5%$900B-$1.00T17%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$247.9 24h vol.9 markets

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

Polymarket odds

$1.30T+28.5%$1.10-$1.20T23.5%$1.20-$1.30T19%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$144 24h vol.9 markets

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Polymarket odds

Goldman Sachs77.5%JPMorgan0.25%Bank of America0.25%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$108.3 24h vol.18 markets

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Polymarket odds

$800B82.2%$1T72.5%$1.2T64.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$107.3 24h vol.5 markets

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Polymarket odds

October 3147%October 1539.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$65.2 24h vol.2 markets

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

Polymarket odds

$OAI46%$OPAI30%$CGPT24%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$11.9 24h vol.19 markets

Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes29.5%No70.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$7.2 24h vol.

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

OpenAI board out by end of week?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

2023 Time Person of the Year

Polymarket odds

Taylor Swift100%AI0%Volodymyr Zelenskyy0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · $0 24h vol.8 markets

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Polymarket odds

September 30100%October 15100%October 31100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

OpenAI's Astra released on...?

Polymarket odds

September 4100%On or prior to September 20%September 30%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.30 markets

Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic68.5%OpenAI31.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.

Which week will OpenAI release Astra?

Polymarket odds

August 31–September 6100%Before August 310%September 7–130%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.11 markets

OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

Polymarket odds

$900B-$1.00T100%<$600B0%$600-$700B0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

OpenAI’s valuation end of August 2026?

Polymarket odds

$900B-$1.00T100%<$600B0%$600-$700B0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

Polymarket odds

September 30100%October 31100%September 15100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.15 markets

OpenAI files IPO by...?

Polymarket odds

May 220%May 260%May 290%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

Polymarket odds

<$30B30%$100B+29.5%$80B–$90B21%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic + OpenAI100%Meta0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic + OpenAI 43.5%Microsoft56.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

Polymarket odds

OpenAI + Anthropic19.5%Google80.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Polymarket odds

↑$875B100%↑$850B100%↑$1.5T0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.12 markets

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

GPT-5.5 released on...?

Polymarket odds

April 23100%Prio to or on April 80%April 90%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.24 markets

GPT-5.5 released by...?

Polymarket odds

April 30100%June 30100%April 23100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 02:39 AM UTC.