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Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$58.6K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNov 24, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 24, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman officially announces the creation of a new company where he holds a significant position (such as founder, co-founder, CEO, etc.) by November 24, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The announcement must be public and verifiable, and can come via a variety of official channels, including but not limited to, Sam Altman's verified social media accounts, press releases, media reports, or official company announcements. For clarity, the announcement must explicitly reference the creation of a new company and not merely imply it. Note that an announcement by the resolution date of a new company suffices - the company need not be created by the resolution date.