
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman (@sama) tweets again, between November 17, 1:00 PM ET and November 19, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts will not count. The resolution source for this market will be Sam Altman's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/sama Please note, only the @sama verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Sam Altman tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:55:30 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.