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Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volume$0
Total volume$14.4K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman officially joins xAI/Grok, in any capacity, by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." Joining Grok could involve, but is not limited to, becoming an employee, advisor, board member, or taking on an executive role within the company. Confirmation must come from an official xAI/Grok announcement, an official statement by Sam Altman or Elon Musk, or credible news reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:22:33 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.