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Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$49.4K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever, co-founder and the Chief Scientist at OpenAI, remains in a full-time position with OpenAI through 11:59 PM ET on January 1, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Ilya officially ends his affiliation with OpenAI for any reason before the resolution date. The resolution source is official OpenAI announcements and official statements by Ilya, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:43:02 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.