Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Polymarket odds

Democrats Sweep64.5%R Senate, D House28.5%Republicans Sweep6.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$796.4K 24h vol.5 markets

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Polymarket odds

Magdalena Andersson81.5%Ulf Kristersson14.2%Ebba Busch2.9%

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$15.8K 24h vol.36 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Polymarket odds

Nicolás Maduro70.1%Delcy Rodríguez24.5%No Head of State2.7%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$10.5K 24h vol.57 markets

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Polymarket odds

China76%No meeting by December 3117.5%United States4%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$9.5K 24h vol.15 markets

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Polymarket odds

↑4k99.6%↑4.5k97.7%↑4.75k93.5%

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$7K 24h vol.14 markets

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Spider-Man: Brand New Day95.5%Avengers: Doomsday4.2%Wicked: For Good0.05%

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$6.9K 24h vol.28 markets

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Polymarket odds

Independent/Technocrat70%PSD18.9%PNL3.2%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$4.9K 24h vol.13 markets

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Polymarket odds

Iliana Iotova84.5%Аndrey Gyurov15.5%Kostadin Kostadinov0.45%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$2.8K 24h vol.40 markets

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Polymarket odds

≥3.0%65.5%2.0–2.5%12.5%2.5–3.0%11.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$1K 24h vol.7 markets

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Polymarket odds

Rebeca Grynspan55%Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett10.1%María Fernanda Espinosa9.9%

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$826.5 24h vol.31 markets

Will Valve add first CS2 operation by...?

Polymarket odds

June 30, 202736%November 30, 202623%March 31, 202720.5%

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$557.2 24h vol.5 markets

Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?

Polymarket odds

Yes94.4%No5.6%

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Closed · $549.4 24h vol.

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

Polymarket odds

$ANTH42.5%$ANT10.9%$APBC5.4%

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$411.3 24h vol.20 markets

France United Left Primary Winner

Polymarket odds

Canceled93.2%Clémentine Autain0.4%Lydie Massard0.3%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$359.6 24h vol.25 markets

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

Polymarket odds

PSD + PNL + UDMR14.7%PSD + UDMR11.9%PSD + PNL6.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$349.2 24h vol.32 markets

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Polymarket odds

Delcy Rodríguez93%María Corina Machado3.1%Marco Rubio2.3%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$348.1 24h vol.43 markets

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

Polymarket odds

PSD83.7%UDMR67.5%PNL41.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$348 24h vol.6 markets

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Polymarket odds

Chuck Schumer47%John Thune26.5%Brian Schatz8.9%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$296.4 24h vol.64 markets

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Olivia Chow86.5%Brad Bradford11.5%Michael Ford0.15%

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$268.1 24h vol.36 markets

Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes4.8%No95.2%

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$198.9 24h vol.

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Polymarket odds

Goldman Sachs77.5%JPMorgan0.25%Bank of America0.25%

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$108.3 24h vol.18 markets

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes1.5%No98.5%

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$77.5 24h vol.

Total crypto hack value in 2026?

Polymarket odds

>$2.5B98.6%>$3B60.7%>$3.5B13.4%

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$60 24h vol.9 markets

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Polymarket odds

Morgan Stanley83.5%Goldman Sachs12.2%JPMorgan0.3%

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Unavailable 24h vol.19 markets

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Polymarket odds

20-40100%0-100%10-200%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

Polymarket odds

<1480100%1480-14900%1490-15000%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Deep Fission IPO Closing Market Cap

Polymarket odds

<$1.25B100%$1.25B–$1.5B0%$1.5B–$1.75B0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.8 markets

GPU rental prices (B200) end of June?

Polymarket odds

$4.00-$5.00100%<$4.000%$5.00-$6.000%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

GPU rental prices (H200) end of June?

Polymarket odds

$3.00-$4.00100%<$3.000%$4.00-$5.000%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

GPU rental prices (H100) end of June?

Polymarket odds

$2.30-$2.60100%<$2.000%$2.00-$2.300%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.7 markets

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?

Polymarket odds

1-2100%<10%3+0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?

Polymarket odds

800b+100%<660b0%660-680b0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

Core CPI (ex food and energy) MoM - May 2026

Polymarket odds

0.2%100%≤-0.3%0%-0.2%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.10 markets

Core CPI YoY - May 2026

Polymarket odds

2.9%100%≤2.4%0%2.5%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.10 markets

Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?

Polymarket odds

82.5%–85%100%<75%0%77.5%–80%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Peru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?

Polymarket odds

70–75%100%<70%0%75–80%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Morena89.4%PAN6.4%PRI2.7%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.33 markets

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 18-24?

Polymarket odds

OpenAI100%Anthropic0%Google0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.19 markets

Best AI model on May 23? (Style Control Off)

Polymarket odds

claude-opus-4-6-thinking100%claude-opus-4-60%claude-opus-4-7-thinking0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?

Polymarket odds

85–90100%<800%80–850%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth?

Polymarket odds

5%+100%<2%0%2%–3%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

Polymarket odds

Other100%Kyle Diamantas0%Stephen Hahn0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.33 markets

Price of Dozen Eggs in May?

Polymarket odds

$2.00–$2.25100%<$1.500%$1.50–$1.750%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.10 markets

Will Valve add first CS2 operation by...?

Polymarket odds

May 310%June 300%August 310%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

Polymarket odds

OpenAI100%Anthropic0%Google0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.19 markets

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Polymarket odds

claude-opus-4-6-thinking100%claude-opus-4-60%gemini-3.1-pro-preview0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?

Polymarket odds

85–90100%<800%80–850%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

Polymarket odds

OpenAI100%Anthropic0%Google0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.19 markets

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 07:10 PM UTC.