Next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Yes1.5%Polymarket estimate

No98.6%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $37.4K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 1.0¢ / 1.9¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Yes1.7%Polymarket estimate

No98.4%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $37.1K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 1.3¢ / 2.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Get the Foretrace AI forecast

See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.

Resolution rules

Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jan 3, 2027
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

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Next Senate Majority Leader?

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Price history

Outcomes & resolution rules

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person D be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person E be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person F be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person G be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person H be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person I be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person J be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person K be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person L be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person M be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person N be the next Senate Majority Leader?

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Will Person O be the next Senate Majority Leader?