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US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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Choose a market to analyze 7 eligible questions · Evidence required
24h volume$1K
Total volume$47.7K
Liquidity$9.9K
Event end date · UTCOct 30, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<0.5%Accepting ordersMarket odds1.1%
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Yes1.1%Polymarket estimate
No98.9%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $1.6K
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 30, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.6¢ / 1.6¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution. If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.