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Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 13 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$3.9K
Total volume$301.1K
Liquidity$113.2K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2028
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
13 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
PSDAccepting ordersMarket odds18.7%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Yes18.7%Polymarket estimate
No81.3%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $19.5K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2028
- Yes bid / ask
- 18.1¢ / 19.3¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the political party of the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the Prime Minister must be both formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the prime minister comes from inside parliament, the party of the Prime Minister will be determined based on their formal party affiliation at the time they become Prime Minister. If the Prime Minister comes from outside parliament, their party will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting on which party they represent, hold membership in, or are formally affiliated with. If no clear affiliation exists, this market will resolve to “Independent/Technocrat”. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.