Next leader out of power before 2027?

Polymarket odds

Netanyahu - Israel PM30%None before 202729%Lecornu - France PM12.3%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$8.4K 24h vol.22 markets

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

Polymarket odds

30-35%25%35-40%17%25-30%15.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$556.4 24h vol.6 markets

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

Polymarket odds

40-45%32.5%35-40%18.5%45-50%16.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$530.5 24h vol.6 markets

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Sagal Abdi-Wali87%Zack Polanski14%Andrew Feinstein0.1%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$337.6 24h vol.75 markets

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

Polymarket odds

Labour 15%+34%Labour 5-10%25%Labour 0-5%17%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$245 24h vol.9 markets

UK election called by...?

Polymarket odds

June 30, 202723.5%December 31, 20268%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$100 24h vol.6 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 20+ times100%Mr. Speaker 30+ times100%Thank 10+ times100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.30 markets

Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?

Polymarket odds

No next Home Secretary in 2026100%Pat McFadden0%Ed Miliband0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.36 markets

Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Polymarket odds

Angela Rayner100%Wes Streeting100%Yvette Cooper100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.30 markets

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

Polymarket odds

July 31100%September 30100%July 20100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Starmer officially leaves office by…?

Polymarket odds

July 31100%June 300%July 170%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Ed Miliband100%Pat McFadden0%Darren Jones0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.37 markets

Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

What will Keir Starmer say during his resignation announcement?

Polymarket odds

Thank 5+ times100%Urgent100%Ban100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.27 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times100%Thank 5+ times100%NHS 3+ times100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.29 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 10+ times100%Mr. Speaker 20+ times100%Mr. Speaker 30+ times100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.24 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 10+ times100%Mr. Speaker 20+ times100%Police100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.24 markets

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Polymarket odds

Robert Kenyon100%Andy Burnham0%Simon Finkelstein0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.33 markets

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Polymarket odds

Burnham 9%+100%Burnham 6-9%0%Burnham 3-6%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.8 markets

Makerfield by-election Winner

Polymarket odds

Andy Burnham100%Robert Kenyon0%Simon Finkelstein0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.33 markets

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Polymarket odds

Andy Burnham100%Keir Starmer0%Wes Streeting0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by...?

Polymarket odds

May 15100%May 31100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

What will King Charles say during State Opening?

Polymarket odds

Government 3+ times100%Security100%Health100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.25 markets

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?

Polymarket odds

June 30100%May 310%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 10+ times100%Mr. Speaker 20+ times100%Labour 3+ times100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.30 markets

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Polymarket odds

Starmer - UK PM100%Macron - France President0%Erdoğan - Türkiye President0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.24 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 10+100%Mr. Speaker 20+100%Mr. Speaker 30+100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.27 markets

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 10+ times100%Mr. Speaker 20+ times100%Mr. Speaker 30+ times100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.27 markets

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

Polymarket odds

300+100%400+100%500+100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 10+ times100%Mr. Speaker 20+ times100%Hundred / Thousand 5+ times100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.26 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr Speaker 20+ times100%Mr Speaker 10+ times100%Reform100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.11 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr Speaker 20+ times100%Mr Speaker 25+ times100%Reform 2+ times100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.14 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 20+100%Reform 2+ times100%Iran100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.19 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 15+ times100%Labour100%Reform 3+ times0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.18 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 15+ times100%Reform 3+ times100%Europe100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.15 markets

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket odds

Mr. Speaker 15+ times100%Affordable / Affordability100%Opportunity100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.18 markets

Morgan McSweeney out as Starmer Chief of Staff by February 28?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Andy Burnham100%Lucy Powell0%Wes Streeting0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.61 markets

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

Polymarket odds

May 31100%June 30100%February 280%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Polymarket odds

December 31, 2026100%July 31100%June 30100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Starmer out by...?

Polymarket odds

July 31100%August 31100%October 31100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.19 markets

Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Starmer out before July?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

UK election called before 2025?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 08:58 PM UTC.