
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe Starmer government has come under criticism for not investigating gangs notorious for committing sexual abuse in the United Kingdom over the last decade. You can read more about that here: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4xnv02nr0o This market will resolve to "Yes" if a UK government led by Keir Starmer formally announces a new national public inquiry specifically into these "grooming gangs" before January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the Starmer government actually begins the investigation within the market timeframe. If Starmer is out as UK Prime Minister for any length of time before such an announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Starmer and the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:49:47 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.