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Morgan McSweeney out as Starmer Chief of Staff by February 28?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$13.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 28, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Morgan McSweeney out as Starmer Chief of Staff by February 28?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 28, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan McSweeney ceases to be Sir Keir Starmer's Chief of Staff for any period of time between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of McSweeney's resignation, removal, or other formal departure from this position before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/departure goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Morgan McSweeney or the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.