Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Polymarket odds

Kevin Warsh100%Rick Rieder7.5%James Bullard3.8%

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Closed · $69 24h vol.39 markets

What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?

Polymarket odds

Good Day100%AI / Artificial Intelligence100%Pressure100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.22 markets

How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

0100%10%20%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Polymarket odds

Inflation 20+ times100%Good day100%North Star100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.37 markets

What will be the next Fed rate change?

Polymarket odds

Hike100%Cut0%

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Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Polymarket odds

Other100%Cut–Pause–Pause0%Cut–Pause–Cut0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

3100%00%10%

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What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Polymarket odds

Rate / Cut100%Money100%Chair100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.31 markets

Fed Decision in September?

Polymarket odds

25 bps increase100%50+ bps decrease0%25 bps decrease0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

Polymarket odds

May 150%June 300%

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Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Polymarket odds

Other100%Cut–Pause–Pause0%Cut–Pause–Cut0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

0100%10%20%

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What will Kevin Warsh say during Senate Nomination Hearing?

Polymarket odds

Inflation 10+ times100%Fed 10+ times100%Interest Rate100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.19 markets

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Polymarket odds

May 31100%June 30100%May 160%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

Polymarket odds

May 15–22100%Before May 150%May 23–290%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

Polymarket odds

Kevin / Warsh100%Integrity100%Middle East100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.24 markets

Fed rate hike by...?

Polymarket odds

September Meeting100%October Meeting100%April Meeting0%

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Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

Polymarket odds

April 30100%June 30100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Polymarket odds

Pause–Pause–Pause100%Cut–Pause–Pause0%Cut–Pause–Cut0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

1100%00%20%

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Fed Decision in July?

Polymarket odds

No change100%50+ bps decrease0%25 bps decrease0%

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Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Polymarket odds

Kevin Warsh100%Judy Shelton0%Kevin Hassett0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.35 markets

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

Polymarket odds

>5%53%>10%19.5%

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Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

Polymarket odds

>5%0%>10%0%

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Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Polymarket odds

Pause–Pause–Pause100%Cut–Pause–Pause0%Cut–Pause–Cut0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

1100%00%20%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

March Fed Derivative: Pause or Cut favored on Jan 28?

Polymarket odds

No change100%25 bps decrease0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Fed Decision & Dissent Combo in January?

Polymarket odds

No change, Dissents: ≥2100%No change, Dissents: <20%25bp cut, Dissents: <20%

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Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?

Polymarket odds

January 160%January 310%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Polymarket odds

May 31100%June 30100%May 15100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Polymarket odds

Pause–Pause–Pause100%Cut–Pause–Pause0%Cut–Pause–Cut0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

2100%00%10%

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Fed rate hike in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Fed Decision in June?

Polymarket odds

No change100%50+ bps decrease0%25 bps decrease0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Polymarket odds

4.3%100%4.4%100%4.5%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?

Polymarket odds

No change100%25 bps cut0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Fed decision & dissent combo in December?

Polymarket odds

25bp cut, Dissents: >2100%No change, Dissents: ≤20%No change, Dissents: >20%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Fed decision in April?

Polymarket odds

No change100%50+ bps decrease0%25 bps decrease0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 12:13 AM UTC.