Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?

Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?

Liquidity

Unavailable

Deadline · UTC

Feb 13, 2026

Yes bid / ask

99.9¢ / 100.0¢

Trading fees

Not flagged by provider

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?' market in the Event 'Fed decision in March?' (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-march-885) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 2-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the '25 bps decrease' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/fed-cuts-25-bps-in-march-odds-15-by-february-13 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 2-hour window. This will display the 2-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com