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'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$25.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 10, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?
No change100%Polymarket estimate
25 bps cut0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 10, 2025
- No change bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “No change” if, between "No change" and "25 bps decrease," "No change" is the favorite in the Fed decision in January? market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1764799281194) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25 bps cut" if, between "No change" and "25 bps decrease," "25 bps decrease" is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the four-hour window between 2 PM and 6 PM on December 10, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of "No change" or "25 bps decrease" is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "50-50". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. If a listed option resolves “Yes,” this market will resolve immediately in favor of the corresponding market. Accordingly, if a listed option resolves “No,” this market will resolve in favor of the other option. If both options simultaneously resolve in the same direction, such as in the case of a negrisk market in which another option resolves “Yes”, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Fed decision in January?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/no-change-or-25-bps-decrease-favored-for-fed-decision-in-january-on-december-10-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.