Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Polymarket odds

Kevin Warsh100%Rick Rieder7.5%James Bullard3.8%

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Closed · $69 24h vol.39 markets

Fed Interest Rates: January 2024

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0 bps increase?100%25 bps decrease?0%25 bps increase?0%

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Closed · $0 24h vol.3 markets

Fed Interest Rates: December 2023

Polymarket odds

0 bps increase?100%25 bps increase?0%

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Closed · $0 24h vol.2 markets

Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · $0 24h vol.

No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?

Polymarket odds

September 30100%October 15100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?

Polymarket odds

Good Day100%AI / Artificial Intelligence100%Pressure100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.22 markets

How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

0100%10%20%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Fed Interest Rates: March 2024

Polymarket odds

No change100%50+ bps decrease0%25 bps decrease0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

Polymarket odds

Bank / Asset 10+ times100%AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times100%Challenge100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.23 markets

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Polymarket odds

Inflation 20+ times100%Good day100%North Star100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.37 markets

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Polymarket odds

Other100%Cut–Pause–Pause0%Cut–Pause–Cut0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

3100%00%10%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Polymarket odds

Rate / Cut100%Money100%Chair100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.31 markets

Fed Decision in September?

Polymarket odds

25 bps increase100%50+ bps decrease0%25 bps decrease0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

Polymarket odds

May 150%June 300%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Polymarket odds

Other100%Cut–Pause–Pause0%Cut–Pause–Cut0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

0100%10%20%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Fed Decision in September?

Polymarket odds

No change100%50+ bps decrease0%25 bps decrease0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Polymarket odds

May 31100%June 30100%May 160%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

Polymarket odds

May 15–22100%Before May 150%May 23–290%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Fed rate hike by...?

Polymarket odds

September Meeting100%October Meeting100%April Meeting0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

Polymarket odds

April 30100%June 30100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Polymarket odds

Pause–Pause–Pause100%Cut–Pause–Pause0%Cut–Pause–Cut0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

1100%00%20%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Fed Decision in July?

Polymarket odds

No change100%50+ bps decrease0%25 bps decrease0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Polymarket odds

Kevin Warsh100%Judy Shelton0%Kevin Hassett0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.35 markets

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

Polymarket odds

US x Iran Ceasefire100%New Supreme Leader of Iran100%Fed Rate Cut0%

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Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

Polymarket odds

>5%53%>10%19.5%

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Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

Polymarket odds

>5%0%>10%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Polymarket odds

Thom Tillis100%Lisa Murkowski100%Kevin Cramer100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.7 markets

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Polymarket odds

June 30100%May 15100%May 10%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?

Polymarket odds

March 31100%February 20%February 60%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Polymarket odds

Pause–Pause–Pause100%Cut–Pause–Pause0%Cut–Pause–Cut0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

1100%00%20%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

March Fed Derivative: Pause or Cut favored on Jan 28?

Polymarket odds

No change100%25 bps decrease0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Polymarket odds

US Strikes Iran0%Trump Announce Fed100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 03:21 AM UTC.