
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve immediately to “No” if any of the following conditions are met at any point by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - The United States Federal Reserve increases or decreases the upper bound of the Target Federal Funds Rate. - The Bank of Japan increases or decreases the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate. - The European Central Bank increases or decreases the upper bound of the deposit facility rate. - The Bank of Canada increases or decreases the target for the overnight rate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing-Ever-Happens-Interest-Rates-e9f9058457.jpg
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:08:33 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.