
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 5 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:12:59 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.