Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?

Polymarket odds

153–15774.6%158–16220.9%<1435.6%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$2K 24h vol.6 markets

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Polymarket odds

Elif Eralp76%Stefan Evers19%Werner Graf0.95%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$1.1K 24h vol.32 markets

Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

Polymarket odds

30-3497.6%35-392.4%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$272.5 24h vol.6 markets

Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

Polymarket odds

29-3198.5%26-281%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$254.5 24h vol.7 markets

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes50%No50%

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$153.2 24h vol.

Berlin State Election Vote Share Margin of Victory

Polymarket odds

Linke 5-10%100%Linke 0-2%0%Linke 2-5%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.12 markets

Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?

Polymarket odds

10-13%100%<10%0%13-16%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share?

Polymarket odds

14-17%100%<14%0%17-20%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?

Polymarket odds

14-17%100%<14%0%17-20%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?

Polymarket odds

23%+100%<17%0%17-20%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share?

Polymarket odds

17-20%100%<17%0%20-23%0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.4 markets

Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%?

Polymarket odds

Over0%Under100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?

Polymarket odds

Over0%Under100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?

Polymarket odds

Over0%Under100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%?

Polymarket odds

Over100%Under0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?

Polymarket odds

Over0%Under100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD?

Polymarket odds

Grüne100%SPD0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?

Polymarket odds

AfD100%SPD0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?

Polymarket odds

AfD100%Grüne0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or SPD?

Polymarket odds

Linke100%SPD0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne?

Polymarket odds

Linke100%Grüne0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD?

Polymarket odds

Linke100%AfD0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or SPD?

Polymarket odds

CDU100%SPD0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne?

Polymarket odds

CDU100%Grüne0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?

Polymarket odds

CDU100%AfD0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?

Polymarket odds

CDU0%Linke100%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: 4th Place

Polymarket odds

Grüne100%CDU0%AfD0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.24 markets

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Polymarket odds

Grüne91.8%SPD91.1%Linke67%

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Unavailable 24h vol.8 markets

Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats?

Polymarket odds

25-29100%<200%20-240%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.7 markets

Berlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?

Polymarket odds

40+100%<200%20-240%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.6 markets

Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Polymarket odds

Up98.6%Down1.4%

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Unavailable 24h vol.

Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

Polymarket odds

AfD100%CDU0%Grüne0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.24 markets

Berlin State Election: 2nd Place

Polymarket odds

CDU100%AfD0%Grüne0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.24 markets

Berlin State Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Linke100%CDU0%AfD0%

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.24 markets

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 03:25 AM UTC.