
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksWarpcast has been surging in the app store rankings, surpassing WeChat on Feb 4 (see https://twitter.com/dwr/status/1754378105836495168). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warpcast is in the top 5 free social networking iPhone apps at any point by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the US iPhone App Store's "Top Free Apps" chart for the "Social Networking" category, viewable here: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/social-networking-apps/6005?chart=top-free.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:36:29 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.