Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$1.5M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jun 30, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between February 20 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that involves Ukraine agreeing to provide economic compensation to the U.S. for the repayment of aid. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes, but is not limited to, agreements related to the repayment of aid through mineral rights, rights to future profits, licenses, financial commitments, or any other form of economic compensation reported as repayment for aid by a consensus of credible reporting. An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted. An agreement for Ukraine to purchase U.S. goods, including military equipment, will not qualify unless it explicitly described as repayment for aid. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine.