Will Trump return control the National Guard by Friday?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$18.4K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJun 13, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Trump return control the National Guard by Friday?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jun 13, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration formally fully cancels, rescinds, withdraws, or transfers control of the federalized National Guard deployment to Los Angeles by June 13, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, there must be an official action or statement by the White House, Department of Defense, or National Guard Bureau confirming that the federal deployment has been canceled or rescinded, or that operational control has been formally returned to the State of California. If a court orders the Trump administration to end or reverse the deployment, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if the administration complies with the order and takes official action to implement it. A court order without compliance will not alone qualify. A confirmed withdrawal of troops from Los Angeles will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.