Will Trump remove all 9 posts by 2:15 PM deadline?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volumeUnavailable

Liquidity$0

Event end date · UTCApr 30, 2024

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Trump remove all 9 posts by 2:15 PM deadline?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $0
Deadline · UTC: Apr 30, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

On April 30, the presiding judge in the "The People of the State of New York -against- Donald J. Trump" issued an order demanding Trump remove 7 Truth Social posts and 2 posts on his campaign website by 2:15 PM ET on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. You can view the order here: https://www.nycourts.gov/LegacyPDFS/press/PDFs/D.O.motion4contempt-FINAL.pdf This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump removes all 9 posts by 2:15 PM ET on April 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trump edits the posts to such an extent that the court accepts them as "removed", this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.