
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Ahmed al-Sharaa on November 10, 2025 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of Ahmed al-Sharaa personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Ahmed is smart,” “He’s a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to Ahmed al-Sharaa. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of Ahmed al-Sharaa personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "Ahmed is very smart, but he doesn’t seem to know that this war will kill more of his citizens." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if Ahmed al-Sharaa is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:39:58 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.