Will Trump post about Laura Loomer by Sunday?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$18.3K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCSep 15, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Trump post about Laura Loomer by Sunday?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 15, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts the word “Laura" or "Loomer" on Truth Social or X between September 13, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The words must be in reference to Laura Loomer, namely saying Laura in reference to another person will not count. He must post either "Laura" or "Loomer" for this market to resolve to "Yes." For the purposes of this market, only words posted by Trump will count - i.e. words in quoted posts and reposts won't count. However, words inside images directly posted by Trump will count. Pluralizations/possessives of the words as well as variance in letter capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the words will NOT count. The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social and X account: @realDonaldTrump Note: The word will count even if it is preceded by a hashtag and appears without a space (e.g., "#LauraLoomer" would count).