Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will Trump make bond by April 4?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$36.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCApr 4, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Trump make bond by April 4?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Apr 4, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Donald Trump was hit with a $454 million penalty as a consequence of a civil fraud case brought against him by the State of New York. This bond was reduced, and the deadline to make bond extended, however until now he has been unable to post bond. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-president Donald J. Trump makes bond in this case by April 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If his bond requirement is completely waived (that is - he is no longer required to post bond by any future date), this market will also resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.