
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the UFC Freedom 250 event, scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. If this event is cancelled or postponed beyond June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on video footage of the event.
Retrieved 10/5/2026, 12:41:35 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.