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How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if US President-elect Donald Trump issues a public statement about the current immigration debate surrounding skilled, legal foreign workers between December 26, 2024, 2:00 PM ET and December 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (see https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1871978282289082585). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying statements must be issued by Trump, his social media accounts, or statements made to media outlets. Trump does not need to explicitly mention the H-1B visa so long as it's clear a statement references the ongoing debate about skilled, legal foreign worker immigration vs. American workers (see tweets such as https://x.com/NikkiHaley/status/1872344248915554712, https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1872312139945234507, https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1871956518213656728, etc.). Statements solely about illegal immigration (e.g. via southern border) will not count. For the purposes of this market, a public statement includes any social media post (e.g. via https://x.com/potus) or public statements (e.g. a comment to the press, a speech given at an event). The primary resolution source will be the qualifying statement itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:12:42 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.