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Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$67.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @drprevost (Leo XIV's verified personal X/Twitter account) posts/tweets at least once between May 12 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all original posts, quote posts, and replies made from the @drprevost account count toward a "Yes" resolution. Reposts/retweets will not count. The resolution source for this market will be the verified X/Twitter account of Leo XIV: https://x.com/drprevost. Only posts made directly from @drprevost during the specified timeframe will count. Posts from other accounts, including official Vatican accounts, will not impact resolution.