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Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day reach $1B in domestic box office in 2026?
Foretrace AI research
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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$33
Liquidity$2.5K
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day reach $1B in domestic box office in 2026?Accepting ordersMarket odds11%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day reach $1B in domestic box office in 2026?
Yes11%Polymarket estimate
No89%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $2.5K
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 4.0¢ / 18.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses $1,000,000,000 (one billion dollars) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.