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Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on...?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$692.9K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 24, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
October 3ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 15, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Sora iOS app is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", on October 3, 2025, 12 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". In the "Top Charts" section under "Free Apps", you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). The Sora app can be found here: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/sora-by-openai/id6744034028